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发表于 18-5-2007 09:36 PM
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NTPM Holdings Bhd
— OSK Research (March 26, 2007)
BUY. NTPM has been performing above our expectations for the past two quarters, driven by improved operations, full effects of a price hike, as well as achieving economies of scale. The group has also been able to expand margins by capitalising on usage of recycled pulp, of which prices are far lower than pure tree pulp. Year on year, the group saw some 15.7% revenue growth and PBT grew by an astounding 30.5%. Already 9MFY2007 results make up 92% of our full-year estimates.
Hence, we raise our FY2007 forecasts by 13.2% and FY2008 forecasts by 7.1% and adjust our fair value upwards to 57 sen, pegging the manufacturing sector PE of 10 times. We expect NTPM to close the year on some 52.6% net profit growth. In FY2008, however, we expect softer growth of 11.7% as factors such as the price hike and improved efficiency would be reflected into earnings.
Growth will be driven by increased demand in Malaysia, reflected by improving standards of living, as well as increase in exports to Singapore and Australia.
Also, utilisation rate of machinery is expected to exceed the 60% level, hence driving the group's output to the 54,800 MT per annum level from an estimated 50,000 MT per annum level currently. |
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